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[虚拟币交流]
58亿美元期权风暴来袭！比特币能否站稳6.5万美元关键点位？（转）
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在周五价值逾58亿美元的期权合约到期前，比特币在四周内首次突破6.5万美元。一些分析师表示，期权到期可能导致加密货币市场的波动性加剧。
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. s7 z7 W, a1 W; jCumberland Labs研究主管Chris Newhouse表示，比特币跌破这一价格水平将引发大幅下跌，而持续突破之后可能会出现反弹。
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2 j/ Q8 g$ O& W3 F. |1 Z$ jNewhouse表示：“比特币现在处于6.5万美元的水平，并正在慢慢测试更高价位，要么突破并维持在这个价位，要么不突破并出现大幅下跌。我们已经转向一个更以微观结构为主导的交易环境，在这个环境中，. d4 h7 D7 [2 w, T Q" w0 J
4 m3 J$ o* T5 o, p清算、融资利率和对波动性的投机是价格的主要驱动因素。”
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比特币周四一度上涨3.7%，至65,826美元，为自7月30日以来的最高水平，随后回吐涨幅。规模较小、流动性较差的代币上涨幅度更大，其中狗狗币上涨超过9%，Solana上涨5%，Avalanche上涨6.5%。
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! F+ s) B( i' J I' O6 {' ENewhouse表示，从历史上看，比特币在8月和9月的阻力位一直是6.5万美元。“我们正在重新测试它。”- S1 h% T D, n! K2 t
" C1 E5 T4 ^" R4 }1 C在期权市场，交易商将面临周五到期的逾58亿美元合约。
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6 y- U: `3 Q) r- w加密衍生品交易所Deribit首席执行官Luuk Strijers表示:“在到期的比特币期权中，约有20%是价内期权。随着交易员平仓或展期，这种大规模的期权到期可能加剧市场波动或活动，这也可能影响价格。”9 t/ g- ~( s+ K9 T. f
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根据Deribit编制的数据，在所有到期合约中，比特币期权的未平仓合约集中在10万美元、9万美元、7万美元和6.5万美元左右。( R# w9 O+ U. g9 M# n" e' d
. }) c/ z! \% i6 x; e
Vertex 首席执行官兼联合创始人Darius Tabai 表示：“由于伽马对冲将市场控制在6万美元和6.5万美元附近，市场应该会在到期前出现波动。”" Z/ k% l- k, A0 \% f- k
$ t, k* P. D6 [; o- C随着投资者涌入期权市场，提供此类合约的交易商要么大量买入，要么大量卖出，以抵消他们快速变化的风险敞口——这种动态被称为“伽马对冲”。* a2 f% r! d0 ~* e0 Y5 a
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