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[虚拟币交流]
比特币：分析师预测将升至7.5万至8万美元：原因如下（转）
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比特币[BTC]价格图表显示，市场结构可能发生转变，预示着价格可能突破3月份开始的5万至7.2万美元的区间 ；7 \1 `; J& q3 }4 R# |" U
' ` ?$ `. g) H$ J4 N* ^' m& L据分析师称股票钱蜥蜴，区间突破可能会在两周内发生。如果是这样的话，分析师预测，如果最近跌破6万美元被辩护为“更高的低点”，比特币可能会达到7.5万至8万美元
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“如果这一更高的低点得到证实，我们将在2周内突破这一上限阻力。下一个目标是7.5万至8万美元。”( e% T$ E. E+ Z* M
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就背景而言，自8月以来，BTC一直在创下更高的低点，这一价格走势预示着潜在的市场结构转变，特别是如果出现更高的高点 ；" e# e9 S* I5 H5 p
. `$ o+ Y* y' d0 s+ z需求上升与风险0 B6 y- ~. E. X% j
投资者对全球最大数字资产的兴趣也有所改善，这表明与第二季度/第三季度相比，第四季度的需求复苏缓慢但稳定。
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从长远来看，自5月以来，BTC的需求一直是负的，卖出超过了买入。然而，CryptoQuant指出，不平衡的步伐已经放缓 ；& y. q+ Y! j& H3 ~
7 T( ~$ O6 L8 u1 a" V事实上，过去30个交易日对BTC的明显需求表明，投资者需求达到了5月份的水平。$ ~; V8 {0 {/ ?, p' A
. E' q' \ |4 H7 _/ O' J7 B在9月底至10月中旬期间，约有15万BTC被投资者抢购，价值约94亿美元 ；- s9 \4 v* s. h# }. ~
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因此，如果这种模式在未来两周内持续下去，不断增长的需求可能会支持Stockmoney Lizards的突破预测 ；
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6 J3 h/ `* q; h" C但杠杆率的上升，如未平仓合约（OI）的上升，也给突破预期带来了迫在眉睫的陷阱 ；
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- X, {6 W% `: r: |; V, `对于不熟悉的人来说，杠杆率上升意味着投机者通过借钱在期货市场开立BTC头寸来承担更多风险。' _! D, I, x @+ y8 S
+ U* r8 F5 w- z2 T3 c根据Glassnode，最近一个周末从58.9万美元上涨到63.4万美元，一些卖空者（OI为25亿美元）纷纷抛售 ；
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3 h" I, ~2 [* o; w/ W6 n, A然而，该分析公司还指出，OI的跌幅没有超过5%，这一水平在历史上总是会出现BTC的长期反弹。
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$ p/ _" p) w6 O8 Z; W; d6 W简而言之，价格方向两侧的波动性和清算风险加剧可能会破坏突破预期 ；
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$ j5 L/ y* T3 i+ z \- Q+ ?" k与此同时，BTC的价值为62.8万美元，并在发稿时跌破200天移动平均线（MA）$ F" K2 @) x0 g9 m3 J4 d: \7 |0 `
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