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当前离线
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BTC上涨至7万美元，扭转了网络基本面 ；
$ f# ~. Y/ k, i8 V9 w尽管存在短期调整和可能的盘整，但这是一个看涨信号吗 ；8 M; K& D: H+ p9 e
比特币[BTC]网络基础知识转变积极的10月，分析师首次认为这是该资产中期的积极信号 ；
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: H! D3 @5 R9 q& p根据CryptoQuant的数据积极的在牛市期间，网络指标是一个熟悉的趋势，尽管可能会出现调整或整合，但这表明该资产可能会出现积极的结果 ；
# N( H; ]3 \3 W( Q" r+ k, M! f1 {3 A4 z- n9 k% n% _
在最近上涨至7万美元后，30天内活跃BTC地址的平均数量飙升至100万大关。它达到了6月份的最后一个水平，表明在上周的抛售中，人们对该资产表现出了极大的兴趣 ；9 o$ ?" B9 b. u- n( w' i
8 Q- x0 ^% O# ]下一步BTC上涨？+ W8 b# d' h5 a& E
采矿部门和网络费用也出现了类似的积极趋势。值得注意的是开采难度创下历史新高，表明BTC矿工之间对奖励的激烈竞争，这是BTC内在价值的积极催化剂 ；
: J. L) I/ w) t6 g: b1 C6 v& J9 D. x( r/ R# o
此外，截至发稿时，BTC的表观需求或生产和库存计划之间的差异飙升至25.6万BTC的6个月高点。在大多数情况下，需求的飙升总是伴随着BTC价格的上涨 ；
9 t" }( ]4 {' P& E7 Z- [* e
& E j5 r! L( ^尽管有上述积极的催化剂，但随着美国大选的临近，分析师对BTC价格的预测喜忧参半。+ ~9 s. Y7 T8 J2 e/ `+ Y" w8 I/ M
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Blockworks分析师Felix Jauvin警告在选举结束之前，BTC可能会受到区间限制 ；
) ~) O" |4 }( `* W' Z: s% p* x# r. m1 I1 e% m
“在选举临近之际，没有人想成为这里风险的边际买家。在选举结束之前，可能只是一大笔钱……：
' E1 s% C r/ M% F3 w3 X
( J8 u n: x$ v5 D Q另一位专家，贾斯汀·比尔内特，呼应了他的谨慎情绪，理由是鲸鱼对抓住最近周中的下跌缺乏兴趣 ；% J- s" j" p; ~0 A" f1 k
$ X' C' P- k' M自10月17日以来，追踪鲸鱼相对于散户的定位的Whale vs.Retail Delta有所下降，这表明鲸鱼减少了BTC的敞口 ；: W# N1 _! X+ i+ J& p8 J
# P1 \: ^ c8 A. T8 ]% _
有趣的是，期权交易员仍然看涨，这可以从他们在选举日前增加购买看涨期权（押注BTC价格会上涨）中看出。- ?7 N$ t6 Y6 H- T# `2 F
% U4 {: W3 o& ] R在10月22日的每日更新中，交易公司QCP Capital注意,. K- @9 Y$ T% ^/ d- ]/ w
4 f+ @6 U" I3 O' t% W1 s“短期隐含波动率在选举日到期时达到峰值，与前一个到期日相差10个交易量，并且倾向于看涨期权而非看跌期权，尽管BTC比其历史高点低约8%”；
# V# E) b$ x* h- p( B4 `3 R2 W/ Z- w, `9 `- [( }) Y* J) X
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