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XRP最近的价格飙升引起了交易员和长期投资者的注意。除其他链上指标外,NVT比率的急剧飙升引发了人们对这场反弹可持续性的质疑。( p5 f W+ @2 I* K, @1 r+ X
虽然价格势头强劲,但NVT的激增表明市场价值和网络活动之间的脱节日益严重。
4 P/ F: q. c# |- s& y0 b这项分析将检验这是否预示着XRP未来方向的机遇或警告。# R. l0 O c# I) `$ d$ r
XRP NVT比率激增
: P+ H* T! W0 f* q近年来,XRP的NVT比率出现了显著波动。2020年至2021年初,这一数字在200至600之间,反映了市场的平衡。
( z/ l7 |0 h: f3 _# C. d6 p然而,从2021年年中到2022年初,该指数飙升至1000以上,表明存在投机驱动的高估期。5 u2 B% l/ \/ u
最近,NVT比率飙升至1800左右,这是最高水平之一,表明两者之间存在脱节XRP市值和链上交易量。
! @" ~; h; d8 w/ a/ s从历史上看,这种飙升早于价格调整。为了维持当前的价格水平,XRP需要大幅增加链上活动。
8 ~" P" L' k+ k3 f6 G8 C# j; e$ q投资者应密切关注交易量,因为未能增加交易量可能预示着价格可能回落。6 o2 U. Q; {2 V+ z' U2 F$ d9 g" h
投机还是持续的势头?2 ]$ d( t7 Y! K2 d4 s& |! r! H
XRP最近的价格上涨伴随着未平仓合约的急剧增加,达到约8.3亿美元,这表明市场投机和杠杆率不断上升。$ p% a( j2 b- Y! P: O1 O
从历史上看,未平仓合约的飙升与价格的大幅波动相吻合,但它们也引发了人们对过度杠杆的担忧,这可能会导致波动或回调。( I* [& r) q# t$ x+ T
正资金利率表明存在强烈的看涨倾向,助长了上涨势头,但如果势头放缓,也会增加逆转的风险。
; d* m ^0 K' t& W( x再加上高NVT比率,这表明投机兴趣可能超过了连锁活动,引发了人们对反弹可持续性的质疑。
, J7 \9 C& z* h; n/ l# B- r+ N网络健康
7 x! X2 m% Z9 o. h% f8 t据报道,截至发稿时,XRP的24小时交易量为68.1亿美元CoinGecko." U* O; _* S0 x: b
虽然这一高数字表明市场活动显著,但也值得在XRP整体网络健康的背景下进行进一步分析。
, O5 D9 K* s) `5 e4 U( n) d交易量的增加可能是市场兴趣和流动性不断增长的迹象,可能会支持XRP的价格上涨。
( L: D5 f1 ]! y4 ?6 z然而,当加上高NVT比率和未平仓合约的增加时,这一数字也可能表明投机行为加剧,而不是由网络公用事业驱动的有机增长。
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# C9 l" X5 @( z& O3 j' L. S3 _4 g0 z. l7 l" l
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比率飙升的是可以在看好价格啊
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