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[虚拟币交流]
比特币再次瞄准 10 万美元 – 看涨势头能否刺激投资者？（转）
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比特币 [BTC]开始采取行动夺回 100,000 美元的区域，截至发稿时，交易价格低于 98,215.61 美元，而过去 24 小时内价格小幅上涨了 0.42%。
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由于市场上大量投资者、现货交易商和矿工的看涨情绪日益高涨，预计涨势将持续，并有可能将 BTC 带入图表上的标记区域。( k8 ~" _3 P' m9 @: Z3 u' W9 z E
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比特币重新分配正在进行
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目前，市场上的比特币正在重新分配。这意味着持有更多 BTC 的市场参与者群体正在转移。
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目前，这种转变已经从持有至少 1% 流通 BTC 供应量的鲸鱼转向另外两类：持有少于1 BTC 的虾类和持有100-1,000 BTC 的鲨鱼。* t+ `" a/ X1 F" \
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然而，鲨鱼却占据了领先地位。
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" N- c# T+ r7 [( t5 h, z根据 Glassnode 的数据，比特币鲨鱼目前占据 20% 的主导地位，这意味着他们积累的 BTC 比任何其他群体都多。, X9 T# B( L. ^5 c4 r
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通过这种重新分配，特别是在小型和相对大型持有者之间的重新分配，表明这些群体的信心正在增强，他们可能将 BTC 跌破 100,000 美元视为买入机会。4 Z1 z# a+ `# W9 @& C' t
& m' F- ^3 l. k k. P! Z2 D* j仔细观察比特币的 NUPL（净未实现利润/亏损）可以证实这一看涨趋势。3 @/ x) x$ n8 }5 P
# O f' u1 G3 ?" h$ `2 F当时，NUPL 显示市场处于“信念”阶段，或看涨持续阶段，截稿时读数为 0.556，表明整体购买活动活跃。$ d/ k! V5 B) z+ k5 s# Z
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* v: ?3 ]/ |) q, g( Z2 y; Z3 l3 C比特币矿工实现的利润微乎其微
3 N2 d k; y/ r) B5 K- ZCryptoQuant 上的矿工持仓指数 (MPI) 表明，在维护区块链完整性方面发挥重要作用的比特币矿工正在逐渐抛售。6 H5 X# S: W: }" x$ y# t
9 c4 o1 Y1 p0 A本文撰写时，MPI 读数为负 0.8，表明抛售压力较低。这表明矿工可能正在获利回吐以弥补运营成本。
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一旦此阶段结束，这些矿工可能会逐渐开始再次购买 BTC，增加他们的投资组合并为市场带来潜在的看涨压力。: I: A4 A/ h. t2 s: j
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现货交易商调整. R/ j5 D5 b. z0 n$ J
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现货交易商开始顺应市场情绪，因为最近几天 BTC 的购买活动非常活跃。
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仅在过去 24 小时内，Exchange Netflow 数据显示，从加密货币交易所购买了 1,100 BTC，较前一天购买的 262 BTC 大幅增加。0 G8 H3 z6 I( U" C) U
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如果这种购买趋势持续下去，则表明现货交易商的看涨情绪将明显转变，与 BTC 投资者团体和矿工当前的情绪一致。
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