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[lastpost] => 2795987 山寨币交易量占加密货币总交易量的50%，超过比特币和以太坊。（转） 1768061862 jackcool1011
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币交易员发出“超买”警告 比特币价格瞄准8.4万美元（转）
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\9 A" b c- `* u 比特币（BTC）在第一季度的最后一个华尔街交易日中有所走高，但比特币价格观点远未确信空头已经失去控制。
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3月31日华尔街开盘时段，比特币价格小幅走高，尽管交易者对短期走势仍持风险规避态度。
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2 S" G. }$ s' J+ J4 k# [ 比特币相对强弱指数（RSI）暗示跌势或将延续
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Cointelegraph Markets Pro与TradingView数据显示，Bitstamp交易所BTC/USD交易对当日上涨1.5%，最高触及8.3914万美元。$ o4 ?/ w T6 x% w6 o2 E4 w
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尽管美股开盘走低，但在季度收盘前的最后几小时，比特币仍迎来期待已久的反弹。
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8 L. W& r9 o& z8 W0 o 市场动能持续受4月2日即将生效的美国新关税政策影响，黄金在创下3128美元/盎司历史新高后亦出现回落。
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针对比特币价格走势，多数市场参与者仍持谨慎态度。
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) @4 y) T* V' O! V 知名交易员Roman在最新X平台分析中针对4小时BTC/USD图表指出：“正在重新测试我们关注的关键84，000美元区域”。他在引用相对强弱指数（RSI）时预测，7 m' m+ j' ], u, d# X; d
9 @7 j3 `7 c5 y& T8 f价格或将回落至更接近80，000美元关口的水平。
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8 H. J6 s( F; K# h “从短期框架（LTF）看，随着下行突破和看跌回测完成，我认为价格将开始走低，”Roman补充道，“同时RSI正在回测50中轴，而随机指标已显示超买。更高时间. K4 e& D e7 L
9 k" ?+ h- X3 o" k# W' U V" u框架（HTF）同样呈现看跌倾向。”
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) E0 u' }3 X: h7 k5 e% T2 \1 D 知名交易分析师Rekt Capital进一步解读RSI信号，指出比特币在突破数月下降趋势线后，正在日线级别回测支撑位。0 \% k7 R f) Z3 t+ U$ x1 j
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“$BTC的RSI正试图将下降趋势线转化为支撑位，同时价格走势也面临下降趋势压力，”他向X平台粉丝总结道，“若RSI能成功守住趋势线支撑．．．将显示市场正在# g l5 m" E: ^: U" o$ z- p
8 y" L; ~5 A, r% m积蓄动能，价格有望突破现行下降通道。”
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3 ~9 y6 Z, `- x1 D" g 早前Cointelegraph报道指出，多项比特币价格指标共同勾勒出当前牛市阶段的疲软态势，暗示回调行情或将延续。7 j2 M: N! h8 \- I
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与此同时，各预测平台给出的BTC目标价位已下探至6.5万美元，部分模型甚至显示更低预期。. Y! d" H+ x) r. ?, N# x
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比特币价格分析显现与2024年末相似走势& ^! c- j% p- E6 k
, G( u$ Z1 b$ U2 _+ m1 T% f. q 当前3月及第一季度的整体表现均未达市场预期。
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" @: a5 }$ B& }: s ` } 监测平台CoinGlass数据显示，在缺乏上行催化剂的背景下，截至发稿时BTC/USD年内累计下跌10.8%，3月单月跌幅达1.1%。! I7 z8 b9 V% o9 s
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该报告特别强调了比特币与美股日益增强的关联性：“尽管市场动荡，但近几周价格走势已在7.8万至8.8万美元区间形成整理格局。值得注意的是，
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* S: C" Q+ v7 J市场恐慌性抛售迹象正在缓解——反应性卖盘减少，而长期持有者已重启积累模式。”
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