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[lastpost] => 2753614 比特币跌破115000美元：18万人爆仓，720亿交易量警示市场风险！（转） 1754055151 大吉大利
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份3 D' T2 |- f. k
& }2 A6 \6 a* I# y报告中特别强调了这一论断。$ I3 @' n, F( f# j7 v7 w5 @
美元抛售推高比特币
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Galaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以
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$ a5 ]$ \6 [1 j! Q% K; v! M2 G来的最低水平。8 n" | `$ ^* b+ h2 T" ^6 r
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“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”1 ?& c+ H: ] w, O1 H' L% f" ~
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! Y5 I' j/ x0 Y( H4 V( ~: h根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指
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数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。' i9 Z+ y7 e6 a* x
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Amberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推
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1 u9 Q9 G6 I- K* D: M2 j" B( d高黄金和比特币的价格。! `4 ?2 j- O6 ?' I
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下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化
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剂。
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这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。/ q# _: J* b! f: N( E. ^
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这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破
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1 R/ B+ ~' F1 `: O了8.7万美元。% `2 g# y+ E& J/ j( c( i: z
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然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，
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0 A6 \* J: j- ?8 K0 I0 y“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”+ C/ n( L, A8 @0 L
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分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。& a" p& w* P5 Y/ R* ?
) o# G' B. ~6 R2 K3 B% Y9 H# U“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”
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! i2 G, L; U) u, @! w! x5 SCryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交3 |$ F: O& p, R' ?$ r
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易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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