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[虚拟币交流]
比特币以98,000美元的价格违反了疑问，那么为什么投资者仍然谨慎？（转）
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比特币集会高于$ 98K，与持续的负面投资者情绪形成鲜明对比；难以置信的可能性可能表明机会。- v* F0 s: \% C$ b1 s
大量的ETF流入促进了BTC，但2022年风险的风险仍然可能使这种动力脱轨。% {1 v( s5 T) w4 h5 |; Z
尽管比特币[BTC]令人印象深刻的持有超过$ 98K的大关，投资者的情绪越来越低。这引起了一波怀疑，在牛市中，这感觉奇怪的是不合时宜。
?% L0 Q3 x6 i0 R3 F, Y
9 w! u' g0 l9 h市场是否难以置信，兴奋不已？还是这些信号反映了2022熊市？
' Z$ Z& P) q/ Z# r4 S" D
0 R2 n' T( k8 {4 p0 A4 `7 j$ m随着BTC最近的[激增]重点势头，当前的气候可能与基本面一样由心理学来驱动。8 F( @& X' p9 d* J
- D8 M, f+ Y( }3 E
牛un云蒙上阴影
; x" B# I9 \( c- M& \& m' X最近的数据显示比特币X（以前为Twitter）和新闻平台上的价格和普遍情绪。/ ]6 H$ h |6 R# p. l0 i) T8 m1 ~# H
4 h2 m T5 B0 {) ^+ G5 `3 k
即使BTC交易自信地超过9.8万美元，平均7天的平均情绪仍然牢固地负面 - 这种模式在历史上与本地底部和逆势购买机会有关。7 u% Y$ n& {8 B8 o( W1 S
8 D1 ~- r; R+ W2 C1 {& K5 A
这种持续的难以置信表明市场在心理上落后于价格行动。3 _2 D1 r5 [$ ?* v/ W
6 S+ q" K" c- P/ Y/ M) H/ E尽管这种情绪下降以前曾在看涨逆转之前，但值得记住的是2022年的警告性故事，在这种情况下，延长的消极情绪与长时间的熊阶段相吻合。) D! d. N1 f0 h' ?" d) D
+ |+ z v' ]: z A6 }( W$ P- z2 _
BTC背后的机构引擎
$ b x4 i% |9 u在ETF流图表：经过数周的一致流出后，四月迎来了大量ETF流入的政权。
2 M1 R0 {6 k8 G4 H0 O+ @5 i7 @: ~6 ~- @/ U
这种重新获得的机构兴趣主要由贝莱德（Blackrock）和富达（Fidelity）等巨人领导，似乎使比特币向上驱动了势头，将其推向了9.8万美元的大关。- V; a; G+ F. j$ R
& [$ ~; T" @/ ?5 n与较早几个月的挥发性流动不同，该阶段显示出稳定的每日净流入，表明了强烈的长期信念。* D0 f* R) [% `! H: ]* J6 N
0 r7 D7 h0 H. J# M( Y3 @' D& f
机构信心可能是[激增]的关键力量，即使零售情绪仍然谨慎。, L6 O% E$ w7 w9 Y/ C! c' ]1 t+ k5 B
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怎么了？
5 c$ C, K& X# C$ |) U y$ \$ {( x尽管ETF流入信号乐观，但历史使投资者保持谨慎。$ ~7 N# W- w1 J8 R
8 P! x. R, U2 H; ~! H2022年，由机构产品和宏观趋势驱动的看涨情绪，由于流动性冲击和杠杆率过多而崩溃。' y$ }; A3 c' C1 j4 h; X
n& C8 z( }" |8 l+ e" u/ Z
风险食欲或监管压力的突然转移可能会触发快速流出，从而逆转最近的收益。
. b9 V% F1 A3 r1 w( [" L
$ w% I$ n' w6 W2 J. I8 B尽管ETF提供了透明度，但它们并不能阻止比特币免受市场波动的影响。如果流入缓慢或转向赎回，比特币可能会面临类似于过去周期的抛售。7 x: T& `- u/ a2 d
9 y; ]' w. n, V, P) w+ C* p |
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