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[lastpost] => 2752216 卡尔达诺 [ADA] 会达到 1 美元吗？（转） 1753777349 rainwang
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BCA Research表示，投资者开始对美国的“避险资产”地位产生怀疑，而这可能对比特币构成利好。% ]0 ~4 i6 n, S3 t
$ \) [6 \/ z" H5 D( @( c 该研究机构在最新给投资者的报告中指出，目前其整体投资组合保持防御性配置——减持股票、增持固定收益资产，并在股票投资中降低对美国
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市场的权重。原因在于，海外投资者正集体“回避”美国资产，担忧美国政策已从“贸易战”转向“资本战”。
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2 [+ x8 L7 M& F5 z8 @: m% X( N 与此同时，BCA也首次将比特币纳入其研究覆盖范围，并将比特币的评级从“减持”上调至“中性”。今年2月，BCA曾出于市场情绪过于乐观的判断而
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“短期看空”比特币。" O, d5 D0 S, r' b
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“在全球资金撤离美国资产的背景下，比特币有望成为受益者。”报告写道，“市场情绪已经从高点大幅回落。今年以来，活跃交易的比特币在整体已
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实现市值中的占比急剧下降。”9 w! n1 i. R% L2 {6 @+ T
/ l" B5 s; p9 \' d! [# w3 z/ }- s 报告还指出，比特币作为“数字黄金”，正越来越像实物黄金那样表现，在美国资产大规模抛售期间依旧保持坚挺。$ ^: r4 a1 z8 q$ S" f
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; u Y9 y- k( | 根据Coin Metrics的数据，自4月3日——即特朗普总统宣布初始关税政策的第二天起——比特币已上涨约12%。同期，现货黄金上涨了8%， g& R8 f+ R2 |% h
4 @: z, I' U/ d' n而纳斯达克综合指数几乎持平。* n; r) ?& ]. V6 J( N
4 b: ^4 N7 {& h, q7 b2 R BCA在报告中进一步指出：“虽然美国经济增长目前仍表现坚挺，但关税政策的模糊性，已导致企业资本支出意愿大幅下滑。”此外，“激烈的
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利率波动也再度打击了住宅房地产市场。”' ?7 a/ l9 u. O8 ]% _" |% G1 K
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“尽管特朗普ZF在某些强硬言论上有所收敛，但企业仍迫切需要明确的政策信号，才能恢复投资。”报告写道，“若无法及时提供清晰政策，
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将可能引发更为严重的经济衰退。”
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